SAN
FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Meteorology
430 DEPARTMENT OF GEOSCIENCES Fall 2008
Midterm #1
250 Points
Part
A. Map Set 1 (70 pts)
1, Attached find the WXP analyses of 200
mb and 1000 mb convergence and 500 mb vertical velocities (in x, y, p
coordinates) forecast by the NAM 12Z 21 October 2010. Note the location indicated by the square off the California
coast.
2. Briefly explain to what extent the
charts given in Map Set 1 GENERALLY illustrate the principle of Dines Compensation (at the location where
the small box is drawn). (25 pts)
Dines Compensation states that upper tropospheric divergence tends to be balanced by lower convergence and vice versa. In this case, there was upper tropospheric (e.g., at 200 mb) divergence with "compensating" lower level convergence (e.g., at 1000 mb). However, the lower level convergence appears to be larger than the upper tropospheric divergence to which is linked. This appears to be an exception of the general tendency...for which the upper tropospheric divergence and/or convergence generally exceeds the compensation in the lower troposphere.
3. Print the following (starting at 8:30AM) for the date, time, and region indicated
on the black board: 42.5N, 130W, 48 hr forecast if you are doing a forecast
chart. Several of you will
be printing charts for 12 UTC today and don't need the latitude and longitude
information (10 pts)
Vanessa
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Alexandria
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Denise
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Leo
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Jacqueline
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Matthew
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Ruisi
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Benjamin
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Christopher
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Hsiao-Yuan
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Xiu Ping
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Part
B. Map Set 2 (60 pts)
Attached
find the 850 mb, 700 mb, 500 mb and 200 mb charts for12Z 22 October 2004. Also
included is the Eta initialization for surface isobars and 1000-500 mb
thickness.
1. Discuss why the trough over the central portions of the country "tilts" towards the west (in this case).
2. Draw advection arrows and fronts for the cyclone in the midsection of the country.
(On this eta_thick, I used yellow for warm advection area/arrows. Remember, the fronts are drawn on the equatorward (or warm air side) of the greatest concentration of advection arrows/thickness contour packing).
Part
C. Map Set 3 (80 pts)
Attached
find sfcplot and a plot of unanalyzed surface observations for 12Z 22 October
2004
Analyze the surface plot inside the
solid lines, using proper isobar intervals, color conventions, frontal/trough
symbols etc. (no isotherms or isodrosotherms). Use the 1000-500 mb thickness analysis from Part B to help
you to complete the frontal analysis. (70 POINTS)
Attached find the 12UTC soundings for Davenport, Iowa and Albuquerque, New Mexico; and the surface isobars and 1000/500 mb Thickness for 12Z 22 October 2004.
Do
the following sets of questions:
1. Note the locations of Albuquerque
and Davenport labeled A and B, respectively.
(a) Plot the 1000
mb geostrophic wind vector at each location with a solid arrow. (You
will have to qualitatively estimate the length of the vector).
(b) Plot
the thermal wind vector at the same locations with dashed arrows. (Again, you will have to
qualitatively estimate the length of the vector..make it 4 times the length of
the 1000 mb geostrophic wind vector you did in (a)).
2. Describe
how the thermal structure and wind profiles evident on the sounding/wind plot
for Davenport and Albuquerque is consistent with your frontal analyses.
At Albuquerque, the winds are backing with height in the layer from the ground to around 700 mb. This indicates that the station is in the cold advection area on the cold air side of a cold front. At Davenport, the winds are veering with height from the surface to around 850 mb. This indicates that station is in the warm air advection area on the cold air side of a warm front. In both cases, these estimates are consistent with the relationship of each station to the frontal analysis.
The soundings also indicate that ABQ is north of a surface cold front, and the frontal inversion is located in the sounding at about 450 mb. At Davenport, the sounding indicates that the surface warm front is south of the station and the frontal inversion is located at about 600 mb.