Yet another day with chaotic wind profiles and weak shears, with moderate buoyancy. Today we started in Plainview and drove immediately to the eastern Panhandle, near Miami/Canadian. Our morning surface subsynoptic analysis showed the best confluence, with very high dewpoints from about Panhandle eastward. We thought that the increasing shear and weak cold advection with yet another incoming short wave in the subtropical branch would make the environment more favorable for supercells, as it did yesterday.
Instead, the severe multicells, with backbuilding over the same areas in Roberts County. Extended forecasts suggest next week should be active.