Chase 2001

1400 UTC

We decided to play the moisture return in the upper Rio Grande River Valley and the trans Pecos (between Midland and San Angelo)

May 25, 2001

Best shear and marginal buoyancy forecast for west central TX.

2000 UTC

Moisture return continues, but is it enough?

2115 UTC Visible Satellite

Hopeful sign...field of low level cumulus in target area.

2000 UTC Sfc Plot

Moisture still returning, but inadequate.

2215 UTC Visible Satellite

Moisture in place, but surface dewpoints not sufficient to allow heating to overcome substantial cap.

A bust!