1. As a forecaster, write an AFD for CWA KMTR based upon a deterministic evaluation of the 360 h 500 mb height/ab vort and Sfc pressure/1000-500 mb thickness/precip panels from the 0000 UTC run of the GFS, given below.
  2. Now express your degree of confidence or lack of confidence, based upon an examination of the ensembles for the 0000 UTC run of the GFS.

NCEP Ensemble Page

CDC 360 h Ensemble Display