Meteorology 302.01, Spring 2004

Class Notes for April 28, 2004

 

Kenny Kapoor

Rodrigo Marquez

 

 

Assignments

 

Ensemble Forecasts

Vasquez: Chapter 3, pp. 50-51, 54-56,58-61 67-77; Chapter 4, 78-86, 91-95; Chapter 5, 118-124; 170-172, 184-186; Appendices, browse, 271-274

Housekeeping

Midterm #2: (Bring Scantron Form 882 and Number 2 Pencil)

Section 1 (Only) Moved To Friday 30 April

 

Dynamic Lows & CAPE Review

 

Dynamic Lows- have trough on left and ridge on right

 

If there is any CAPE from 0 to 500mb, CIN will also be plotted

 

CIN = inhibition for storms, prevents thunderstorms from developing

 

Partially unstable air is needed for thunderstorms to develop

 

Systems move with a forward speed of 50mph

 

Common Thunderstorm

 

Most thunderstorms are not severe unless they develop in areas of high CAPE

 

In thunderstorms water droplets get taken above the freezing level and turn into hail

 

If they get caught in another updraft they gain another layer of ice

 

The stronger the updraft, the stronger the hailstone can become

 

Sometimes hailstones get so large, updrafts can no longer suspend them so they fall to the surface

 

With 100mph updrafts you can get hailstones the size of softballs (they reach the ground as ¾ inch or greater

 

Downdraft can make temperature decrease by 20 degrees

 

Wind sheer, Downbursts, and Lightning

 

Horizontal wind sheer- 40mph updrafts and downdrafts (the stronger the greater the danger)

 

In general updrafts are between 20-40mph

 

Vertical wind sheer- strong when jet stream is present

 

If wind speed exceeds 57mph it is called a downburst (at this point it is a severe thunderstorm)

 

Cloud to ground lightning- most dangerous because of risk of being struck

 

Hypothesis on why lightning occurs: The ice that forms at top of the thunderstorm called hailstones collide with each other knocking electrons off. Once there is enough energy the cloud discharges the electricity