FINALLY...WORTH NOTING THAT THE OVERALL CONFIDENCE FOR THE EVENT
HAS INCREASED COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AS THE VERY DRY NAM IN THE
PAST TWO RUNS HAS BEEN TRENDING MUCH CLOSER TO THE GFS AND ECMWF
SOLUTIONS. WHETHER OR NOT THE REASON IS THE DOMAIN OF THE NAM OR
SOMETHING ELSE...IT IS NOW VERY CLEAR THE EXTREMELY DRY SOLUTIONS
FROM THE NAM FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ARE OUTLIERS AND VERY
UNLIKELY TO VERIFY. CONFIDENCE HAS ALSO INCREASED THAT THE HEAVIER
RAIN BAND WILL NOW MAKE IT DOWN THROUGH MONTEREY BAY BY FRIDAY
EVENING AND NOT SIMPLY STALL OUT TO THE NORTH. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
IF QPF VALUES PRODUCED TODAY SHOW A BUMP UP COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
PRODUCTS.